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The United States Under Trump's Second Term Feels Strangely Familiar to Observers from China

As Vickie Wang, a rising comedic talent, steps onto the stage in the Big Apple, she is not only thinking about which jokes to tell. She also weighs what subjects to steer clear of. “I refrain from directly attacking the government,” she explained. Or if she ventures there, she ensures it's not captured for social media. “I'd never publish openly content where I openly disparage authorities … I believe it's a learned behavior acquired back home.”

Wang, 39, resided in the Chinese metropolis for almost ten years, leaving in that year. In 2025, she moved to America. When she got there, she embarked on a frenzy of “revenge bingeing on freedom,” attending talks, protests, and delving into New York’s public library.

However in the year after Donald Trump was elected again, there's been a “palpable change” in the atmosphere, she says. “In China, I knew the boundaries, whereas here I find myself on shifting sands.”

Her concerns reflect an emerging climate in America which numerous individuals from China, or those with experience in the country, perceive as disturbingly similar. Enemies face exclusion. The leader expects total allegiance. Reporters are targeted. Institutions come under fire.

Trump has not been shy about his admiration for Xi Jinping, the nation's strongman leader. He has described him as “fantastic”. As they agreed a brief ceasefire in economic tensions recently, the bonhomie between both figures of countries with diametrically opposed governance models was evident. Following years of optimism in the US that closer ties with the East could assist the growing nation to liberalise, under Trump 2.0, it appears that America is being pulled in China's path, rather than the other way around.

“America is undergoing an era of societal upheaval,” said a constitutional law expert, an academic at a top Chinese university. “The top leader, Trump, is trying to mobilise the masses in order to sideline or undermine established figures … reminiscent of events in the country half a century ago.”

Ever since the administration initiated what's termed a government streamlining body, or the agency, on the Washington bureaucracy early on in office, many in China have viewed American governance through the lens of China's historical period. Be it the mobilisation of young people to carry out presidential directives, or cleansing institutions of perceived enemies, Trump from a Chinese viewpoint has delivered Mao-style chaos to the US, though absent the same levels of violence.

However after the turmoil of the initial period under Trump subsided, a new, different kind of climate has settled in the US, which in different ways seems recognizable to numerous Chinese people.

‘The Lighthouse Is Dimmer’

The most profound similarity between the US today and the East is the crackdown on free speech.

Deng Haiyan, turned Chinese Communist party critic, found himself in the eye of a storm recently, the likes of which he once faced in China. He resided in America for several years, after escaping China due to harassment from the authorities.

In September, after the death of a public figure, Deng tweeted that Kirk was a “scumbag”. Like people nationwide – who lost their jobs for expressing criticism regarding him – he encountered a huge backlash. His family was doxed and he was accused of espionage seeking to create division.

“That event was a real shock. I never imagined that something like this would occur in the United States – what typically happens in a repressive state,” he commented.

Deng’s pile on came from fellow social media users, rather than the government, but such of social surveillance also has parallels with China.

“In terms of targeting those who disagree and starting to surveil open discourse on topics that are sensitive … It's appearing here,” noted Maria Repnikova, a scholar at Georgia State University. “This is observed in China now as too,” she added, stating that there were now fears in the US of students reporting on educators, a form of monitoring promoted by Chinese authorities.

The professor, the Peking University law professor, explained that progressive thinkers like himself once turned to the US for political inspiration, since openly discussing internal affairs in China is risky. But now, “The US is no longer some kind of god for Chinese liberals. The US's reputation has declined across the board.”

“We used to see the US as the beacon of constitutional democracy, but since the new administration, that guide seems to have become dimmer”.

Progressive Chinese, who are often, at least in private, skeptical about the nation's governance, now perceive it less objectionable than the US's, Zhang said. “It's somewhat painful to accept this reality … but post-COVID, authorities seems to be doing correct policies in environmental protection and developing electric cars and tech investment,” he noted, while “Western nations, as represented by the United States, appear in decline.”

The government's acquisition of stakes in American firms has also drawn parallels with China, where the line between government and business is often blurred.

Recently, authorities announced it will take a shareholder in a new company specialising in mineral refinement, following comparable shares in other companies it considers vital to national security. The deals have made some investors concerned that the US is entering a fresh phase of state intervention in the private sector.

There are still major differences between Trump’s America and the East. Last month, multiple media outlets including the Guardian refused to sign to a defense department rule that demanded they only report on government-authorised news. US courts have blocked or overturned numerous presidential measures, an action that would be impossible in China’s party-dominated legal system.

Isaac Stone Fish, the founder of Strategy Risks, specializing in China, commented: “America could descend into the worst crisis of its history, far more severe than currently, and it would remain freer, more open, and more liberal than the East under its leader.”

The professor observes that while numerous scholars in the country were surprised to see American colleges yield to official requests regarding DEI policies and free speech on campus, in the East, the top universities are all state-owned by default. Administrators, who are appointed by the government, “have no liberty refuse. They dare not defy orders.”

Nevertheless, people in the US are starting to take precautions that were once associated with more authoritarian countries. An academic at an American college once vocal on US-China issues refused to be interviewed for this piece. He stated: “The truth is, I am scared of suppression here: I actually feel less afraid to criticise Xi these days than say anything bad

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By

Nicholas Copeland

An astrophysicist and science communicator passionate about making space accessible to everyone.

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